[HTML][HTML] Forecasting: theory and practice
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and …
Anomalies and the expected market return
We provide the first systematic evidence on the link between long‐short anomaly portfolio
returns—a cornerstone of the cross‐sectional literature—and the time‐series predictability of …
returns—a cornerstone of the cross‐sectional literature—and the time‐series predictability of …
Machine learning vs. economic restrictions: Evidence from stock return predictability
This paper shows that investments based on deep learning signals extract profitability from
difficult-to-arbitrage stocks and during high limits-to-arbitrage market states. In particular …
difficult-to-arbitrage stocks and during high limits-to-arbitrage market states. In particular …
Machine learning and the cross-section of emerging market stock returns
MX Hanauer, T Kalsbach - Emerging Markets Review, 2023 - Elsevier
This paper compares various machine learning models to predict the cross-section of
emerging market stock returns. We document that allowing for non-linearities and …
emerging market stock returns. We document that allowing for non-linearities and …
Understanding forecast reconciliation
R Hollyman, F Petropoulos, ME Tipping - European Journal of Operational …, 2021 - Elsevier
A series of recent papers introduce the concept of Forecast Reconciliation, a process by
which independently generated forecasts of a collection of linearly related time series are …
which independently generated forecasts of a collection of linearly related time series are …
[BOOK][B] Artificial intelligence in asset management
Artificial intelligence (AI) has grown in presence in asset management and has
revolutionized the sector in many ways. It has improved portfolio management, trading, and …
revolutionized the sector in many ways. It has improved portfolio management, trading, and …
Hist: A graph-based framework for stock trend forecasting via mining concept-oriented shared information
Stock trend forecasting, which forecasts stock prices' future trends, plays an essential role in
investment. The stocks in a market can share information so that their stock prices are highly …
investment. The stocks in a market can share information so that their stock prices are highly …
Fundamental analysis via machine learning
K Cao, H You - Financial Analysts Journal, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
We examine the efficacy of machine learning in a central task of fundamental analysis:
forecasting corporate earnings. We find that machine learning models not only generate …
forecasting corporate earnings. We find that machine learning models not only generate …
[HTML][HTML] BeFi meets DeFi: A behavioral finance approach to decentralized finance asset pricing
D Bennett, E Mekelburg, TH Williams - Research in International Business …, 2023 - Elsevier
This systematic literature review summarizes the extant research in the Behavioral Finance
(BeFi) and digital asset spaces to understand better the interactions of behavioral effects on …
(BeFi) and digital asset spaces to understand better the interactions of behavioral effects on …
On LASSO for predictive regression
Explanatory variables in a predictive regression typically exhibit low signal strength and
various degrees of persistence. Variable selection in such a context is of great importance …
various degrees of persistence. Variable selection in such a context is of great importance …