User profiles for Mesias Alfeus
Mesias AlfeusSenior Lecturer, Financial Risk Management at Stellenbosch University Verified email at sun.ac.za Cited by 109 |
Forecasting volatility in commodity markets with long-memory models
M Alfeus, CS Nikitopoulos - Journal of Commodity Markets, 2022 - Elsevier
Commodities are the most volatile markets, and forecasting their volatility is an issue of
paramount importance. We examine the dynamics of commodity markets volatility by employing …
paramount importance. We examine the dynamics of commodity markets volatility by employing …
On numerical methods for spread options
Spread options are multi-asset options whose payoffs depend on the difference of two
underlying financial variables. In most cases, analytically closed form solutions for pricing such …
underlying financial variables. In most cases, analytically closed form solutions for pricing such …
A consistent stochastic model of the term structure of interest rates for multiple tenors
Starting from the observation that single-currency swap basis spreads contradict classical
arbitrage arguments, we construct a framework where this basis arises due to the presence of “…
arbitrage arguments, we construct a framework where this basis arises due to the presence of “…
Forecasting commodity markets volatility: HAR or Rough?
M Alfeus, C Sklibosios Nikitopoulos - Available at SSRN 3520500, 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
Commodity is one of the most volatile markets and forecasting its volatility is an issue of
paramount importance. We study the dynamics of the commodity markets volatility by employing …
paramount importance. We study the dynamics of the commodity markets volatility by employing …
Regime switching rough Heston model
This model combines two important stylized features of volatility, the rough behavior consistent
with a Hurst parameter less than , and the regime switching property consistent with more …
with a Hurst parameter less than , and the regime switching property consistent with more …
Meta-Labeling Architecture
M Meyer, JF Joubert, M Alfeus - The Journal of Financial Data …, 2022 - pm-research.com
This study reflects the assessment of the largest European buyside companies concerning
new order execution opportunities like Direct Market Access, Smart Order Routing or …
new order execution opportunities like Direct Market Access, Smart Order Routing or …
[HTML][HTML] A novel stochastic modeling framework for coal production and logistics through options pricing analysis
M Alfeus, J Collins - Financial Innovation, 2023 - Springer
We propose a novel stochastic modeling framework for coal production and logistics using
option pricing theory. The problem of valuing the inherent real optionality a coal producer has …
option pricing theory. The problem of valuing the inherent real optionality a coal producer has …
On spread option pricing using two-dimensional Fourier transform
Spread options are multi-asset options with payoffs dependent on the difference of two
underlying financial variables. In most cases, analytically closed form solutions for pricing such …
underlying financial variables. In most cases, analytically closed form solutions for pricing such …
An empirical analysis of option pricing with short sell bans
Short sell bans are often imposed during a financial crisis as a desperate measure to stabilize
financial markets. Yet, the impact of short sell bans on option pricing and hedging is not …
financial markets. Yet, the impact of short sell bans on option pricing and hedging is not …
Implied roughness in the term structure of oil market volatility
M Alfeus, CS Nikitopoulos, L Overbeck - Quantitative Finance, 2024 - Taylor & Francis
This paper analyses the attributes and the significance of the roughness of oil market volatility.
We employ unspanned stochastic volatility models driven by rough Brownian motions that …
We employ unspanned stochastic volatility models driven by rough Brownian motions that …